Conditions and outlook as of February 4, 2026.
I live in the Florida Keys for the long summers, mild winters, and all the things we can do outside year-round. Well, that winter blast finally found us. No doubt about it—it is cold! That changes the plan for February, but there are still opportunities worth talking about.
Cold Water Changes the Fishing Plan
Before this front, our water was averaging around 70°F. This morning, I measured 54°F at the dock. That is a serious drop, and some of my usual trip options will have to wait until conditions improve.
With so many boats staying at the dock, I have been following weather reports and updates from others on the water. There is not much firsthand fishing information coming in yet, so this is an outlook rather than a report on recent catches.
Here is what I will be looking for: the transition between cold, dirty water moving out of the shallows and warmer water farther offshore. Fish that move away from the cold can gather around deeper structure, creating some interesting opportunities.
The usual patterns get shuffled after a temperature swing like this. Some spots may be quiet, while others could hold fish we would not normally find together. No guarantees, but there is good reason to pay attention to the deeper water once conditions let us get out there.
February Weather and Getting on the Water
Getting in the water is off the table for my trips right now. As of this update, another cold snap is forecast for February 6, followed by a more encouraging stretch of weather. I expect the air to warm up before the water does, and the water may stay cold through much of February.
Cool weather does not automatically rule out a fishing trip. My boat has a large windscreen and a dry ride that help with comfort while we move between spots. Dress in layers, and we can work with the conditions when they are suitable. A little preparation makes a big difference on a cool day.
If you are planning a trip, get in touch and tell me what your group would like to do. I will give you an honest rundown of the options and what the weather is likely to allow.
A Few Updates from the Captain
It has been a quieter stretch, and I am putting some of that downtime into rebuilding the website. The plan for February is a fresh look that makes finding trip information and booking easier.
I have also been working on sharing more of what our trips actually look like. If you wonder why I do not film more during the action, the answer is pretty simple: I am busy running your trip. When things get going, my attention is on helping you make the most of it.
Guest photos and videos help fill that gap. If you have been out with me recently, I would love to see your favorite shots. An honest review helps future guests know what to expect, too, and I appreciate you taking the time.
To reach me, send a text or call and leave a voicemail. The telemarketers have been keeping my phone busy, so I usually let unknown numbers go to voicemail. Leave a message, and I will get back to you so we can talk about your trip.
Planning a winter trip to the Keys? Get in touch with your dates and what you would like to do, and I will give you an honest rundown of the options for your group. The weather gets a vote, but we can talk through a plan.
