From the archives: This update describes the conditions and fishing outlook at the time it was written. Lobster availability and regulations change; check current information before planning a trip.
Welcome to the winter weather roller coaster in the Keys. We’ve had wind and cooler-than-usual water, even when the days on land have felt sunny and mild. Water temperatures have been around 65 degrees, seas have been choppy, and visibility has shifted from good to poor. That’s not unusual for this time of year, though we’ve had more of it than I’d like. I’m hoping for a better stretch of conditions soon.
I’ve also had plenty of questions about lobstering. The season was still open when I wrote this, but reliable numbers weren’t something I could promise. Cold water may have pushed lobster into deeper areas. Some years, warmer weather brings a late-season bump, but it’s a variable trip and worth discussing before you book.
Fishing in changing conditions
Fishing has been good, though it’s taken more work than I’d hoped. I’ve averaged 15–25 keepers per trip, but the pattern has been changing from day to day. Most of January’s trips stayed closer to shore so we could find more comfortable conditions. The deeper reef edge didn’t get as much attention, and offshore seas kept most boats inside the reef or on the bayside.
The bayside offers smaller seas and plenty of fish, though the mix of species differs from the ocean side. Both areas can produce a good trip. I keep a few options in mind and talk them through with each group so we can choose a plan that fits the conditions and what you’re hoping to do.
Looking ahead, passing cold fronts can bring new migratory fish into the area. If the fronts aren’t too close together, we may get a more stable pattern and better opportunities. I’m looking forward to seeing what February brings.
Thanks to everyone who’s invited me to be part of your vacation. If you’ve enjoyed a trip, an honest review helps other visitors know what to expect. I appreciate you taking the time. If you’re planning a day on the water, get in touch and we’ll talk through the options.
